There is an urgent need for the development of a predictor of response to chemotherapy for ER-positive breast cancer which is less chemosensitive than for ER-negative breast cancer in order to avoid unnecessary chemotherapy. In the present study, intrinsic subtyping by PAM50 was evaluated for its ability to predict a response to chemotherapy.

For this study, 124 patients with ER-positive breast cancer treated with neoadjuvant sequential paclitaxel and FEC (NAC) were evaluated. Tumor biopsy specimens obtained before NAC were subjected to intrinsic subtyping (IS) by gene expression (GE) using PAM50 (PAM50-IS) or immunohistochemistry (IHC-IS).

Of the PAM50-ISs (Luminal A, Luminal B, HER2-enriched, and Basal-like), GE-Luminal A showed the lowest pCR rate (1.9%), and multivariate analysis revealed that GE-Luminal A was a significant (P = 0.031) predictor of non-pCR independently of other clinicopathological parameters, including Ki67, and tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes. Of the IHC-ISs, on the other hand, IHC-Luminal A was not significantly associated with pCR. We also found that breast tumors with low ER levels (1–9%), like ER-negative tumors, were mostly GE-HER2-enriched and GE-Basal-like, and more sensitive to NAC than those with high ER levels (≥ 10%).

GE-Luminal A intrinsically subtyped by PAM50 was the least sensitive to NAC and very unlikely to attain pCR. IHC-Luminal A identified by IHC, on the other hand, was not significantly predictive of pCR. In addition, PAM50 revealed that tumors with low ER (1–9%) were more like ER-negative tumors than ER-positive tumors, and most such cases should therefore would better be treated with chemotherapy.